Boston College +4 3.3% play
It is hard to back Nebraska as a favorite, period. Nebraska had 24 players hit the portal including 4 starters, and they lost their DC. They have made a bowl for the first time in 8 years, which is considered a success under Matt Rhule. I don't know that we can expect a great offensive performance from either team making the points extra important here on natural grass, and wet conditions. Nebraska also 92nd in percentage of possesions ending in a TO while BC is 14th at forcing them and for me is worth an extra posession for BC. Nebraska really struggles to win close games, and I'm expecting a close game here as I just don't see how Nebraska's offense will be able to get distance. Boston College's offensive #'s aren't any better, but they at least have an identity and that's to run the football. They're not any good at it, but at least they don't turn the ball over. Nebraska's defense is stout against the run, but without some starters and their DC who left it's hard to say they can live up to what they did during the regular season. Close game, and BC is better in the red zone, and have played at this stadium two times before. Take Boston College!
